Five Recruiting Scenarios - John Sumser's Lead-Up to ERE Expo 2010 Spring

John Sumser is writing a thought-provoking series as a lead-up to his presentation at ERE Expo. The series is titled The Five Scenarios for the Future of Recruiting. He's structured the articles on a technique developed by Shell in the 1980s called Scenario Planning. I had an opportunity to record a 26 minute podcast with John for TotalPicture Radio - his feature page includes a complete transcript of the podcast.

At ERE Expo, John's presentation - Recruiting Disruption - will just cover enough of the basics to get a conversation started. Consider the following:

The recruiting profession is 30% to 50% smaller than it was 18 months ago.

Many more HR Generalists are filling the recruiting role.

Technology is changing rapidly.

A new generation is coming to work.

Sourcing is simultaneously separating from the selection process and transforming itself.

Meanwhile, good enough sourcing is on everyone’s desktop. It just keeps getting better.

Social Recruiting is grabbing a foothold.

Salary transparency makes candidates smarter about the deal.

Workplace reviews create brand management problems.

The effective unemployment rate of 18% creates a candidate deluge.

Budgets are trimmed to the bone.

The publishing industry, which once provided the infrastructure for employment advertising is dead.

Other industries are in peril creating a sea of displaced, disrupted workers.

Old ideas of privacy are under assault.

Economic forecasts are impossible to believe (your company’s or the government’s)

Employment branding is gaining traction in health-care markets.

Comment by Paul Alfred on February 26, 2010 at 2:34pm: Thanks for this Post Peter .. Its great to see that some of us are not afraid of confronting the realities of this ever changing industry .... I wrote a blog about the industry and think it must have been hidden from the masses .... Ahhh well .... What's life without a challenge .....